The researchers from Oxford Martin School of University of Oxford examined how susceptible jobs are to computerisation, by implementing a completely unique methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, employing a Gaussian process classifier scoring jobs on 9 possible traits.
Based on these estimates, the researchers Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne examined expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the first objective of analysing the amount of jobs in danger and therefore the relationship between an occupation’s probability of computerisation, wages and academic attainment.
According to their estimates, about 47 per cent of total US employment is in danger. They further provide evidence that wages and academic attainment exhibit a robust negative relationship with an occupation’s probability of computerisation.